Hunter Henry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this contest, Hunter Henry is predicted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 81st percentile among TEs with 5.3 targets.
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Hunter Henry's 85.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 73.2% mark.
This year, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has yielded a whopping 82.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-highest rate in football.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Hunter Henry's 25.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 37.0.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends rank as the 4th-best DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.