Hunter Henry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-117/+111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football (62.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.
The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (36.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Hunter Henry has run a route on 74.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among TEs.
In this contest, Hunter Henry is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 91st percentile among tight ends with 5.9 targets.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see only 126.0 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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