Hunter Henry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -149 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.
The leading projections forecast Hunter Henry to garner 4.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
With a high 17.1% Target Share (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Hunter Henry ranks as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the NFL.
The Patriots O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.