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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 127.8 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to total 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Hunter Henry's 44.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 33.2.

With an outstanding 3.2 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Hunter Henry places as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

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