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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are huge underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

In this contest, Hunter Henry is predicted by the model to finish in the 93rd percentile among TEs with 6.0 targets.

Hunter Henry's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 88th percentile for TEs.

Hunter Henry profiles as one of the best pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 3.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-focused offense in the league (55.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.

The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in football.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

With a poor 68.2% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) since the start of last season, Hunter Henry places as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

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