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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to notch 4.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Hunter Henry's 33.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 84th percentile for tight ends.
  • Hunter Henry comes in as one of the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.2 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.4%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (76.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.8% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 126.7 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.4 per game on average).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
  • With a lackluster 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (17th percentile) since the start of last season, Hunter Henry ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to tight ends.

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