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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to garner 4.3 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile among TEs.

Hunter Henry rates in the 83rd percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 29.8 figure this year.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Washington's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Hunter Henry's 68.9% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 72.5% mark.

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