Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's game, Hunter Henry is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Hunter Henry rates as one of the top TEs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 43.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 87th percentile.
Hunter Henry's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 73.2% to 90.5%.
With an exceptional 10.3 adjusted yards per target (90th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry has been among the leading TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a heavy 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The projections expect the Patriots to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by the predictive model to run only 61.0 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.8 per game) this year.
Hunter Henry has totaled far fewer air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (40.0 per game).

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