Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 22, 2026 10:13 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-117/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect Hunter Henry to total 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among TEs.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
With a remarkable 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) this year, Hunter Henry stands among the leading pass-catching TEs in the NFL.
Hunter Henry's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 73.2% to 87.2%.

Favors Under

With a 59.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-least pass-centric team in the league has been the New England Patriots.
The projections expect the Patriots to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Hunter Henry has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (40.0 per game).
Hunter Henry's 25.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 37.0.

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