Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 9:22 AM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-112/+103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.
With an outstanding 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (82nd percentile) this year, Hunter Henry places among the best pass-catching TEs in the NFL.
Hunter Henry's 84.2% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 73.2% mark.
Hunter Henry profiles as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging an impressive 10.21 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Patriots, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.2% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 61.7 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
After totaling 40.0 air yards per game last year, Hunter Henry has gotten worse this year, now pacing 26.0 per game.
Hunter Henry's 25.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 37.0.