My Account Log Out

reorder

Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The model projects Hunter Henry to total 4.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Hunter Henry has put up a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game last year: 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Hunter Henry slots into the 84th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a superb 33.2 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

With a bad 68.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (21st percentile) last year, Hunter Henry places as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™