Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 2:55 AM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to total 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry has accumulated a colossal 46.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry's 34.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for tight ends.
Hunter Henry has been among the best pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 36.0 yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Hunter Henry has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging an impressive 8.47 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 60.3 plays per game.
Hunter Henry has been among the bottom tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 4th percentile.