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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 7th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to accumulate 4.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Hunter Henry has notched far fewer air yards this season (25.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).

Hunter Henry's 24.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 34.8.

Hunter Henry has accrued many fewer receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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