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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+111/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to total 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.
  • Hunter Henry has accumulated a colossal 46.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among TEs.
  • Hunter Henry's 35.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 88th percentile for tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots rank as the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 60.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.7 plays per game.
  • Hunter Henry has been among the weakest tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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