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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens

Hunter Henry Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+308/-555).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +314 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +308.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.

Hunter Henry has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 22.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile among tight ends.

Hunter Henry has accumulated a whopping 43.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among TEs.

Hunter Henry's 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 87th percentile for TEs.

Hunter Henry ranks in the 95th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.47 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (69.1%) to TEs since the start of last season (69.1%).

The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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