Hayden Hurst Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a remarkable 59.8% Route Participation Rate (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Hayden Hurst rates as one of the tight ends with the most usage in football.

Favors Under

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chargers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 50.5 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Hayden Hurst's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 57.5% to 54.2%.