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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to accrue 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among tight ends.
  • Hayden Hurst has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 15.1% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 87th percentile among TEs.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.
  • Hayden Hurst's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 79.1% to 69.3%.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (50.3%) to TEs since the start of last season (50.3%).

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