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Hayden Hurst
NFL · Player Props
Hayden Hurst
TE · Carolina Panthers
Receptions
Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 1, 2023 Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Hayden Hurst Receptions

Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -136.

Favors Over
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Hayden Hurst has run a route on 71.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to accumulate 4.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
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