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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.3% pass rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Hayden Hurst has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (74.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.9%).

THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to garner 5.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: least in the league.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (56.4%) to TEs this year (56.4%).

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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