My Account Log Out

reorder

Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (75.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (44.9%).

THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to accrue 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.

Hayden Hurst has accrued a whopping 24.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Hayden Hurst has been among the bottom tight ends in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.

More Hayden Hurst Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™