Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (75.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (44.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to accrue 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
Hayden Hurst has accrued a whopping 24.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Hayden Hurst has been among the bottom tight ends in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.

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