Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential target this season (71.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (44.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to garner 4.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among tight ends.
Hayden Hurst has totaled a whopping 25.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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