Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential target this year (71.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (44.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to total 4.4 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
Hayden Hurst has posted significantly more air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

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