Harrison Bryant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+128/-174).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -191 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to garner 5.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.9% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Harrison Bryant's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 77.5% to 67.6%.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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