Harrison Bryant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
Harrison Bryant's 22.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 14.1.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The New England Patriots defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst unit in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Harrison Bryant's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 77.5% to 60.3%.

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