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Harrison Bryant

Harrison Bryant Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Harrison Bryant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Harrison Bryant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (45.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (28.0%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to garner 3.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Harrison Bryant's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.5% to 67.5%.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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