Harrison Bryant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Harrison Bryant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (45.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (28.0%).
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to garner 3.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Harrison Bryant's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.5% to 67.5%.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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