Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-119/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns will be forced to start backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game efficiency when facing better conditions this week.
Harrison Bryant has received a colossal 7.7% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among TEs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New York Jets pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Completion% in football (75.9%) to tight ends since the start of last season (75.9%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Harrison Bryant has been among the bottom TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 3.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 19th percentile.

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