Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Harrison Bryant has been less involved as a potential target this year (47.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (27.8%).
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to total 4.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Harrison Bryant's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.5% to 70.5%.

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