Harrison Bryant Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+340/-649).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +342 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +340.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the end zone this week (19.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.4% in games he has played).
Harrison Bryant has accrued a colossal 23.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Harrison Bryant's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 77.5% to 67.6%.
Harrison Bryant ranks in the 1st percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 7th-least TDs through the air in the NFL to TEs: 0.14 per game this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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