Gus Edwards Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Gus Edwards's ground efficiency (4.85 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (77th percentile among running backs).
Gus Edwards has been among the leading RBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.64 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

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