Gus Edwards Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 44.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Gus Edwards to earn 12.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Gus Edwards to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (47.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (34.7% in games he has played).
Gus Edwards's running effectiveness (4.95 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (81st percentile among running backs).
Gus Edwards has been among the top RBs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.71 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 99 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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