Gus Edwards Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+112/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Gus Edwards has garnered 39.7% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
Gus Edwards has generated 53.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (77th percentile).
Gus Edwards has been among the top RBs in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.37 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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