Gus Edwards Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing TD

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-385).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 46.6% red zone run rate.
Gus Edwards has earned 37.0% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
Gus Edwards has rushed for 0.60 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (90th percentile).
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most TDs in the NFL (1.23 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense this year.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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