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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 49.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 130.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • Our trusted projections expect Gus Edwards to be a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this week (26.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.0% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's group of DTs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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