Greg Dulcich Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

Greg Dulcich

TE · Miami Dolphins

Touchdowns

Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Greg Dulcich Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+344/-355).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive -7-point underdog in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.1 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in the league.
After averaging 17.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dulcich has seen a big uptick this season, currently boasting 27.0 per game.
Greg Dulcich's 31.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 25.9.
Greg Dulcich comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a fantastic 81.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 2nd-most run-focused team in the league near the end zone (50.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
Right now, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The leading projections forecast Greg Dulcich to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack near the end zone in this game (19.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (29.4% in games he has played).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Dolphins profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.