Greg Dulcich Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Greg Dulcich

TE · Miami Dolphins

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Greg Dulcich Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are heavy underdogs in this game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
Greg Dulcich has run a route on 55.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
Our trusted projections expect Greg Dulcich to notch 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the worst safety corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins as the 11th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Dolphins to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Dolphins have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) since the start of last season.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.