Greg Dulcich Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Greg Dulcich

NFL · Player Props

Greg Dulcich

TE · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Greg Dulcich Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will be rolling with backup QB Brett Rypien in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New York Jets linebackers profile as the 8th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-least in football.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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