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Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Greg Dulcich Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will be rolling with backup QB Brett Rypien in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The New York Jets linebackers profile as the 8th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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