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Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Greg Dulcich Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Denver Broncos offensive line has given their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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