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Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Greg Dulcich Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+431/-973).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -950 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -973.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.

The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The New York Jets linebackers profile as the 8th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Denver Broncos O-line has given their quarterback 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-least in football.

The New York Jets defense has allowed the least touchdowns through the air in football to TEs: 0.00 per game this year.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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