Greg Dortch Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Greg Dortch

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Greg Dortch Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.
Greg Dortch has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this year (17.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (2.4%).
Greg Dortch has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an impressive 86.2% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (70.9%).
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Carolina Panthers defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the fastest in the league since the start of last season.