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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+120/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.
  • Greg Dortch has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this year (17.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (2.4%).
  • Greg Dortch has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an impressive 86.2% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (70.9%).
  • The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
  • Greg Dortch has totaled a measly 14.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 22nd percentile among WRs.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 136.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.13 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in football.

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