Greg Dortch Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Greg Dortch

NFL · Player Props

Greg Dortch

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

Greg Dortch has posted a meager 13.0 air yards per game this year: just 21st percentile among wide receivers.
The New England Patriots defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 143.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.3%) vs. WRs this year (63.3%).
The New England Patriots pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the NFL.
The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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