Greg Dortch Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Greg Dortch

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Greg Dortch Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+247/-400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +259 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +247.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Greg Dortch to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (18.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.3% in games he has played).
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (67.8%) versus WRs since the start of last season (67.8%).
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered the 4th-least passing touchdowns in the league to wide receivers: 0.72 per game since the start of last season.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.