My Account Log Out
 
 
Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have 130.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Gerald Everett to total 4.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
  • Gerald Everett's 84.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 69.2% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to tilt 2.1% more towards the ground game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • Gerald Everett's 19.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 28.2.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™