Gerald Everett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.09 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to total 7.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

Gerald Everett's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 63.2%.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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