Gerald Everett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 18, 2022 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to accrue 5.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
Gerald Everett's 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 27.5.
Gerald Everett has been among the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 3.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 59.8%.
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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