Gerald Everett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 3, 2022 2:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to total 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.2% to 54.4%.

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