Gerald Everett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to earn 5.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among TEs.
Gerald Everett has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 14.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 85th percentile among TEs.
Gerald Everett has been among the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.4 receptions per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties profile as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 69.0%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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