Gerald Everett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
Right now, the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
The Chicago Bears defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.
This year, the feeble Bears pass defense has given up a staggering 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Chargers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Chargers are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
This year, the tough Bears pass defense has yielded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a puny 3.4 YAC.

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