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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a giant 8.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 64.5%.
  • Gerald Everett's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling a mere 6.90 yards-per-target vs a 7.96 figure last year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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