Gerald Everett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 19, 2022 9:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a giant 8.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 64.5%.
Gerald Everett's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling a mere 6.90 yards-per-target vs a 7.96 figure last year.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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