My Account Log Out

reorder

Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+203/-305).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +217 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +203.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.09 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Gerald Everett has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.6% this year, which ranks in the 86th percentile among tight ends.

Gerald Everett has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (47.0 per game) than he did last season (22.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Gerald Everett's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 63.2%.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 4th-least passing TDs in the NFL to tight ends: 0.12 per game this year.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More Gerald Everett Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™